The first two games of this series - both at Houston - have gone Under the total. There is a lot of zigging and zagging in the NBA playoffs not just with point spreads, but also with totals. This is the time for an Over to occur in this series.

There is a law of averages and due factor that should kick in.

The Rockets, for instance, scored 102 points in Game 2 with James Harden limited to only 12 points. Houston has made barely 29 percent of its 3-point shots in the series when it averaged 36.2 percent from 3-point range during the regular season. This is enormous because the Rockets fire up more shots from beyond the arc than any team. The Timberwolves are shooting 38.8 percent from the floor in the series. They had the fourth-highest field goal percentage in the NBA during the regular season at 47.6 percent. Karl-Anthony Towns is having a horrible series shooting 5-of-18 from the field after finishing the regular season converting 54.5 percent of his field goals.

But it's not just the due factor and a natural correction being in order. The Timberwolves have played way too conservative. Now that they're home - making their first home playoff appearance since 2004 - they are going to play more up-tempo and fast. That's their best chance to beat the Rockets. Minnesota wins with offense not defense. Jimmy Butler is an outstanding two-way player. However, Towns, Andrew Wiggins, Jeff Teague and Jamal Crawford are far more offensive-minded players. They are scorers first, not defenders. Huge crowd support should push the Timberwolves into a frantic pace. Minnesota catches a break, too, as the Rockets are without their best defensive player, injured Luc Mbah Moute.

I'm looking for the Rockets to score more points, too. They were the No. 2 scoring team in the league and averaged 122.7 points in their four regular-season meetings with the Timberwolves, who ranked 29th in defensive field goal percentage.