First off, note the start time. It's 12:30 in the afternoon East Coast time. Early starts like this tend to favor the Under.

Now consider current form. Matt Murray has been hot in net for Pittsburgh. The Penguins are giving up 2.3 goals in their last three games, all with Murray as the goalie. They face a Rangers attack that is well below average ranking 25th in scoring and 30th in shots on goal. Another plus for the Penguins is the return of defenseman Justin Schultz. He played in the Penguins' last game after missing the previous 53 games with a broken leg.

The Rangers also are surrendering an average of 2.3 goals in their last three games.