PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's Total of Week - 21-8-2 MLB Total Run
(MLB) Miami vs. Milwaukee,
Total: 9.00 | -125.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 9.00 | -125.00 Under
Result: Win
The stats show the Marlins to be last in the league in runs scored averaging 3.3 runs a game. But that is misleading. The Marlins have made several recent changes to their lineup. The result is a much more respectable offense.
Miami has scored four or more runs in nine of its last 13 games. The Marlins have plated at least five runs in eight of those games. Miami just scored a combined 18 runs in its last two games - both at Petco Park, the premier pitching park in the majors.
Now the Marlins visit Miller Park, one of the better hitting fields in baseball. The Over is 9-3-1 the past 13 times the teams have played in Milwaukee.
The Brewers get to face Pablo Lopez. He has been tough at pitcher-friendly Marlins Park, but awful on the road with an 8.26 ERA in six away matchups. The Brewers faced Lopez last July 10. They scored five runs off him on six hits and three walks in six innings.
I'm not expecting much from Lopez and a bad Miami bullpen in this road setting. The Brewers rank No. 3 in homers and 10th in runs scored. They are expected to get back Mike Moustakas and Travis Shaw to give them a lot of infield power.
Chase Anderson will be on the hill for Milwaukee. He's split his time starting and relieving, having yet to throw more than five innings in a game this season. Anderson is a bottom of the rotation starter.
So it's certainly not too much to expect each of these two teams to produce at least four runs apiece.
Miami has scored four or more runs in nine of its last 13 games. The Marlins have plated at least five runs in eight of those games. Miami just scored a combined 18 runs in its last two games - both at Petco Park, the premier pitching park in the majors.
Now the Marlins visit Miller Park, one of the better hitting fields in baseball. The Over is 9-3-1 the past 13 times the teams have played in Milwaukee.
The Brewers get to face Pablo Lopez. He has been tough at pitcher-friendly Marlins Park, but awful on the road with an 8.26 ERA in six away matchups. The Brewers faced Lopez last July 10. They scored five runs off him on six hits and three walks in six innings.
I'm not expecting much from Lopez and a bad Miami bullpen in this road setting. The Brewers rank No. 3 in homers and 10th in runs scored. They are expected to get back Mike Moustakas and Travis Shaw to give them a lot of infield power.
Chase Anderson will be on the hill for Milwaukee. He's split his time starting and relieving, having yet to throw more than five innings in a game this season. Anderson is a bottom of the rotation starter.
So it's certainly not too much to expect each of these two teams to produce at least four runs apiece.