PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's CBB Thursday Totals Terminator
(NCAAB) Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Wagner,
Total: 142.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Total: 142.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
Oddsmakers just give a quick glance to small conference matchups like this one before quickly throwing out a total based on season numbers.
But on closer inspection - considering current form - this Over/Under has been set too low.
Fairleigh Dickinson averages 75 points on the season. That number goes up to 82.1 points in regulation if you look at the Knights' last six games. Wagner ranks 263rd in the nation defensively yielding nearly 74 points a game.
Wagner has scored at least 74 points in six of its last seven games. Fairleigh Dickinson has one of the worst defenses in the country ranking 326th allowing 78.9 points.
But on closer inspection - considering current form - this Over/Under has been set too low.
Fairleigh Dickinson averages 75 points on the season. That number goes up to 82.1 points in regulation if you look at the Knights' last six games. Wagner ranks 263rd in the nation defensively yielding nearly 74 points a game.
Wagner has scored at least 74 points in six of its last seven games. Fairleigh Dickinson has one of the worst defenses in the country ranking 326th allowing 78.9 points.