Luis Castillo started the season poorly and he's pitching poorly now with a 5.22 ERA during his last five starts. He's more of a tease than a staff ace with an inflated reputation.

There is solid line value on the Tigers here with the Reds overrated because of Castillo and being a prime playoff contender. Detroit is averaging 8.2 runs in its last four games.

The Tigers are above .500 in their last 46 games. Detroit starter Casey Mize is 7-7 with a 3.59 ERA. He's regarded as one of the best young pitchers in baseball with an extremely high ceiling. He has a 3.00 ERA in his last three starts. 

Cincinnati is just 2-5 in its last seven games. The Reds are missing injured Jesse Winker, who is their second-leading hitter and third on the team in RBI's.