It's rare to see the Orioles a home favorite. It's even more rare to see them win in that role - or any other role. Baltimore is 2-8 the past 10 times it has been home chalk.

I don't believe the Orioles should be priced higher than the Royals in a pitching matchup of Carlos Hernandez against southpaw John Means.

Hernandez is flying below the radar going 4-0 with a 1.91 ERA during his last seven appearances spanning 42 1/3 innings.

Means is the only decent starter in Baltimore's rotation. But he could be hitting the wall having already pitched 119 1/3 innings this season compared to 43 2/3 last year.

The Royals have won 15 of the last 22 times they've faced a lefty starter. The Royals aren't going to lack motivation either after blowing a 5-0 eighth inning lead on Wednesday.