FREE
Stephen Nover Free CFB Saturday Play
(NCAAF) Wolf Pack (NEV) vs. Broncos (BOISE),
Point Spread: -24.00 | -110.00 Broncos (BOISE) (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -24.00 | -110.00 Broncos (BOISE) (Home)
Result: Loss
Nevada showed some early promise, but the Wolf Pack are regressing. It's not a good time for them to be meeting Boise State.
The Wolf Pack have lost three in a row, including blowout losses the past two weeks as small underdogs to Colorado State and Hawaii. After holding their first five opponents all below 30 points, the Wolf Pack have surrendered an average of 33.6 points in their last five games.
That doesn't bode well for the Wolf Pack's chances against the explosive Broncos, who rank in the top-four in points per game at 45.8, total yards and rushing yards while featuring Heisman Trophy candidate Ashton Jeanty, who is averaging eight yards a carry. Nevada ranks 80th in run defense.
I don't expect the Wolf Pack to get many stops. Their hope is to score enough points to cover the spread. QB Brendon Lewis has displayed promise. However, the Wolf Pack managed only 13 points against Hawaii during their previous road game.
Boise State has 38 sacks. No college football team has more. I don't trust Nevada's offensive tackles to slow down Jayden Virgin-Morgan and Ahmed Hassanein, who have a combined 15 1/2 sacks. The best part of the Broncos' defense, though, has been against the run where they rank 30th, holding foes to 3.4 yards per rush.
The Broncos are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. During this span, the Broncos covered a 28-point line against Utah State and a 24-point spread versus San Diego State. By comparison, San Diego State defeated Hawaii, a team that beat Nevada by 21 points.
(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is having another winning college football season going 34-24 on his premium/free plays. Stephen has three premium CFB plays going Saturday in addition to this free selection headed by his SEC Total of the Year.)
The Wolf Pack have lost three in a row, including blowout losses the past two weeks as small underdogs to Colorado State and Hawaii. After holding their first five opponents all below 30 points, the Wolf Pack have surrendered an average of 33.6 points in their last five games.
That doesn't bode well for the Wolf Pack's chances against the explosive Broncos, who rank in the top-four in points per game at 45.8, total yards and rushing yards while featuring Heisman Trophy candidate Ashton Jeanty, who is averaging eight yards a carry. Nevada ranks 80th in run defense.
I don't expect the Wolf Pack to get many stops. Their hope is to score enough points to cover the spread. QB Brendon Lewis has displayed promise. However, the Wolf Pack managed only 13 points against Hawaii during their previous road game.
Boise State has 38 sacks. No college football team has more. I don't trust Nevada's offensive tackles to slow down Jayden Virgin-Morgan and Ahmed Hassanein, who have a combined 15 1/2 sacks. The best part of the Broncos' defense, though, has been against the run where they rank 30th, holding foes to 3.4 yards per rush.
The Broncos are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. During this span, the Broncos covered a 28-point line against Utah State and a 24-point spread versus San Diego State. By comparison, San Diego State defeated Hawaii, a team that beat Nevada by 21 points.
(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is having another winning college football season going 34-24 on his premium/free plays. Stephen has three premium CFB plays going Saturday in addition to this free selection headed by his SEC Total of the Year.)
