I understand that Jameis Winston can blow hot or cold. But the Browns have been the healthiest they've been all season coming out of their bye. Their offensive line should have the right pieces finally in place and Nick Chubb should have the rust off. 

Mainly, though, this is a fade on New Orleans. The Saints are terrible on both sides of the ball. They rank in the bottom-six in yards allowed, rush defense and pass defense. Derek Carr has maybe the worst set of wideouts in the league with Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed out. The Saints' offensive line, not good to begin with, has injuries, too.

The Browns' defense has regressed this season, but their pass rush is still good led by Myles Garrett. Carr is at his worst when pressured. 

The Saints gave an all-out effort getting a coaching bump in Darren Rizzi's first game as interim coach in last week's victory against the Falcons. Atlanta, though, outplayed New Orleans. The Falcons happened to miss three field goals in that game.

I don't see the Saints nearly as motivated for this non-division matchup especially with their bye coming next week.