I trust Tulane with the American Athletic Conference championship game at stake. The Green Wave are making their third consecutive AAC title game appearance. They had won 17 straight ACC games until getting upset by Memphis last week at home. The Green Wave may have been looking ahead to this title game in that loss to Memphis knowing they already had their championship game appearance punched.

Tulane was 9-2 ATS going into that Memphis game. The Green Wave have covered five of their six road games. They have one of the best running backs in the country, Makhi Hughes, and the 15th-ranked scoring defense. Their coach, Jon Sumrall, has experience stopping run-option offenses such as Army's.

Army's offense is regressing, averaging only 19.2 points in its last four games. I don't trust the Black Knights either in this step-up spot. They were destroyed by Notre Dame, 49-14, two weeks ago. That was the only time they were taking more than a field goal. Their schedule has been extremely weak.