The Vikings win, but they don't win by much. Minnesota's average winning margin in its past seven victories is by five points with one of those wins decided in overtime.

Minnesota is well-coached, but far from being a dominant team, not nearly as good as its 10-2 record.

This is a buy-low spot on the Falcons off a 17-13 loss to the Chargers last week. The Falcons played one of their best defensive games of the year in that loss, doubling their season sack total and rendering Justin Herbert ineffective, holding the Chargers to 187 yards and 10 first downs. They can do the same to Sam Darnold now that their defense has gotten healthy.

The takeaway, though, from that Chargers game was Kirk Cousins throwing four interceptions. Cousins won't lack motivation after that performance especially going against his former team. The Falcons are comfortable, too, playing in a dome. That is their natural setting. Cousins has weapons and the Vikings aren't expected to have injured cornerback Stephon Gilmore.

Minnesota nearly was upset by the Bears two weeks ago. It took the Vikings overtime to subdue Chicago. Then the Cardinals outgained the Vikings by 133 yards last week. Arizona led nearly the entire game before the Vikings pulled out a 23-22 home win.

Look for the Vikings' luck to finally run out here.