Have to go defense in this one. Both Michigan State and Auburn rank in the top-10 in defensive efficiency. The Under has cashed in 10 of Michigan State's last dozen games. The Tigers have gone Under in four of their five postseason games.

Michigan forced 15 Auburn turnovers against the Tigers this past Friday. Michigan State has much better defensive guards than the Wolverines. The Spartans have the front-court depth, too, to keep Auburn star big man Johni Broome from dominating. Broome is the only Auburn player who averages more than 13 points. The Tigers don't have any outstanding scorers if Broome is neutralized. Michigan State's Tom Izzo is an expert at making defensive adjustments.

The Spartans will have to earn their points, too. The Tigers rank in the top-five in blocked shot percentage and are seventh in 3-point defense.