At 6:40 eastern the MLB Top total is on the OVER in the Pittsburgh at Detroit game. The game applies to a powerful OVER System that averages over 11 runs setting up a huge Z-Factor scenario where the average score beats the posted line by 4 or more runs. The OVER is a perfect 9-0 since 2004 for home favorites off a home dog win that scored more than 10 runs and had less than 10 strikeouts if they have rest. These 2 went over the total in both April games. Detroit has gone over in 3 of 4 home Starts with Skubal. Jones for the Pirates has a road ERA Near 4. The total is modest lined at 7 flat so we will back the OVER here.

O/U: 9-0-0
Runs
Team 5.33
Opp 6.22

Jul 06, 2007 recap Fri 2007 home Rockies Jeff Francis-L Phillies Kyle Kendrick-R 7-6 1 W 3.0 O 18-14 0-0 1-5 -155.0 10.0 10
Jun 16, 2009 recap Tue 2009 home Orioles Jeremy Guthrie-R Mets Mike Pelfrey-R 4-6 -2 L 0.5 O 7-11 3-0 0-4 -130.0 9.5 9
Jun 16, 2009 recap Tue 2009 home Phillies Cole Hamels-L Blue Jays Ricky Romero-L 3-8 -5 L 2.0 O 8-13 1-1 1-5 -190.0 9.0 10
Aug 27, 2010 recap Fri 2010 home Rockies Ubaldo Jimenez-R Dodgers Clayton Kershaw-L 2-6 -4 L 0.5 O 7-11 0-0 1-4 -150.0 7.5 9
Aug 02, 2016 recap Tue 2016 home Tigers Anibal Sanchez-R White Sox James Shields-R 11-5 6 W 6.5 O 13-11 0-0 7-1 -150.0 9.5 9
Aug 05, 2016 recap Fri 2016 home Padres Christian Friedrich-L Phillies Jeremy Hellickson-R 4-5 -1 L 1.0 O 10-6 0-0 2-2 -106.0 8.0 9
Sep 02, 2016 recap Fri 2016 home Rangers AJ Griffin-R Astros Doug Fister-R 10-8 2 W 8.5 O 13-7 1-1 7-2 -117.0 9.5 9
May 02, 2017 recap Tue 2017 home Nationals Tanner Roark-R Diamondbacks Taijuan Walker-R 3-6 -3 L 0.5 O 7-10 1-0 2-3 -135.0 8.5 9
May 24, 2019 recap Fri 2019 home Brewers Chase Anderson-R Phillies Jerad Eickhoff-R 4-6 -2 L 1.0 O 8-11 0-0 2-2 -120.0 9.0 9

May 28, 2024 recap Tue 2024 home Tigers Tarik Skubal-L Pirates Jared Jones-R -155.0 7.0