At 9 eastern the hot side play is on Rice plus the points. Rice is off a massive upset over Navy while Memphis lost as a favorite. Conventional thinking would suggest a reversal of fortune. However, Rob noes tat since 1990 road dogs of less than 18 in week 8 or later have COVERED every time if they won as a home dog of 9 or more and allowed less than 12 points vs an opponent off a road loss. Rice has a solid defense 23rd in yards allowed and 7th against the pass. Memphis likes to throw the ball and it will be tough here. The Tigers defense is average at best and we will back Rice to get the cover

SU: 8-4
ATS: 11-0-1