On Saturday the BIG 12 Play is on Baylor. Game 157 at 3:30 eastern. Baylor is scoring at tremendous rate and now they take to the road to play a Kansas St team that is nothing close to what they were last season as they were hit hard with losses on heir defense bringing back just 2 starters while also losing their Qb. Today they will have a tough time slowing down Baylor. There are 2 fine system that apply to this game. First we want to play on any road team that arrives of 3 or more wins all by 16 or more points, vs an opponent that played in a game where 59 or more points were scored. These teams are 27-4 to the spread. Another fine system is to play on any favorite in game 3 or later of the regular season that is laying 6.5 or more points and won their last 2 home games by more than 15 points, vs an opponent off a dog loss by 5 or less points and scored 35 or less.This one has cashed around 90%. Kansas St is off a loss to OK. St last week. This week they will get blown out as Baylor is better this year that last. I also expect Baylors defense to play better here. Baylor has a deceptively good defense but it goes unnoticed due to the tempo of their games opposing teams are throwing all day attempting to try and catch up. Kansas St is 0-10 ATS When they LOSE as a home dog which is something they will do here today. They are 0-4 ats home off a straight up loss vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more. Baylor Big today.