On Saturday the A.LC.S. Play is on Boston. Game 906 at 8:05 eastern. The Redsox fit a solid game one system that is perfect since 2004 and plays on any home team with a total that is higher than 6 if the are off a road favored win and scored 4 or less runs, vs an opponent that is also off a road win and scored 4 or less runs. Boston has won 12 of 14 at home when J. Lester starts. Lester has been solid allowing just 5 runs in 13 innings at home vs the Tigers. He will oppose A. Sanchez who has never faced Boston. Detroit has lost 9 of 12 here. Boston is 6-1 at home as a favorite off a road win of 2 or more runs. Boston is 11-7 in Game one of the Championship series round while Detroit is 4-11 in game ones this round. Look for Boston to take game one.




On Saturday the bonus Road Warrior Play is on UAB. Game 185 at 7:30 eastern. UAB is 11-1 ats off 2+ losses. Tonight they catch an Florida International team that won their first game as a 17 point road dog at S. Miss in a gam where we had them with the points. That huge Road dog win thought sets them up as a go against here today as we note that long term home teams from -3 to +25 are 36-85 ats off a road dog win at +10 or more. Look for FIU to come back down off the big dog win. Take UAB.