On Hump day the MLB Play is on the Boston Redsox. Game 917 at 8:05 eastern. Boston qualifies in the cutting edge sequence scenario as seen below which has road teams at 7-1 ALL TIME in this set up. Also of note is a system that has won 18 of 24 times straight up for dogs. We want to play on road dogs off a road dog win and scored 2 or less runs with a total that was 8 or less and is 8 or less in this game, vs an opponent off a home favored loss and scored 2 or less runs. Boston has J. Peavy going and he has plenty of playoff experience. He will oppose D. Fister who was dreadful vs Boston here this year allowing 6 runs and 11 hits in 3 innings. Boston averages over 5 runs per game on the road and has won 17 of 25 on Wednesday. The Tigers are scoring under 3 runs per game in the playoffs this year. See the graphs below. Take Boston tonight.




HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading LWW @ HHV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading LWW with site order HHV (Boston) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 87-26 (.770)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 25-4 (.862)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 14-2 (.875)
series record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 7-1 (.875)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 58-55 (.513)
Game 4 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 19-10 (.655)
Game 4 record, MLB only, all rounds: 11-5 (.688)
Game 4 record, MLB only, Semifinals round: 7-1 (.875) Boston-
These records are drawn from the applicable 1217 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.


SERIES NOTES:

After Game 3: The Boston Red Sox visited and shut out the Detroit Tigers 1-0 to take a 2-games-1 lead in the series. When leading a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Red Sox have a 4-2 series record and a 4-2 Game 4 record (both series losses occurred after the two Game 4 losses; all four series wins occurred after the four Game 4 wins). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 2-games-1, the Detroit Tigers have a 2-6 series record and a 3-5 Game 4 record (with an active four-Game 4 losing streak