On Monday Morning our Armed Forces play is NOT on NAVY. That's right were on Middle Tennessee St. Game 231 at 11:45 eastern. Here is the main reason why. We want to play against bowl favorites off 3 or more straight up and ats wins, the last cover by 3 or more points, vs an opponent who allows 27 or less points. Both teams happen to allow an identical 26 points. Playing against these favorites and adding in more little subset gets this system to 17-1 ats if playing on the dog. These two teams statistically are nearly the same as Navy averages 415 yards and allows 401 MTSU 414 and allows 404. So its no surprise they both are 8-4. The Blue Raiders have covered both times against winning teams this season and are 5-1 straight up and ats off a bye the last few years. Coach Stockstill has covered 11 of 13 off a win as a favorite or dog of 10 or less vs an opponent that has a .600 or better win percentage. Bowl dogs are 6-0 ats if they scored 40+ in 3 straight games, vs an opponent with a win percentage of .699 or less Navy is 1-6 ats with 2 or more weeks off and will have a much tougher time here than they had with Army. Navy is just 3-8 straight up vs winning teams. According to the simulation Navy at most is 4 points better. Take the Points with Middle Tennessee St