Ricky's 7* play on AVL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Aston Villa are 12-3-2 in their last 17 home matches.

- Chelsea are 5-7-4 in their last 10 road matches.

- Aston Villa need 3 points to stay in top 4.

Verdict: The Value is on the home underdog.