PREMIUM
10* FRIDAY CFL ATS BLOOD-BATH (8-3 RUN!)
(CFL) Toronto vs. Montreal,
Point Spread: 5.50 | -110.00 Montreal (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 5.50 | -110.00 Montreal (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* CFL ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Montreal Alouettes.
Honestly, I'm not a big "player" guy. Players don't usually factor into my equation when I'm handicapping games. If a player is out, then his absence is reflected in the line. We're in 2023 fellas, the bookmakers are sharper than they've ever been at any other time in history.
I'm not that great at individual player assessment, and I've struggled at Fantasy Sports, which is obviously very difficult and completely player driven.
I've always been much better at looking at a team as a whole and then giving an assessment. I'm a situational handicapper. I've always felt that being flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping is the best, and so I look at many different factors throughout the regular season like "revenge" etc, more closely than trying to handicap the players themselves.
I'm looking at line movement. I'm looking at where the public money is, as I'm also definitely a contrarian at heart, when most of the people are going on way, I'm invariably going the other.
And so this pick on Montreal definitely falls right into my wheelhouse as far as being a great situational play in my opinion.
The Toronto Argonauts are the defending Grey Cup Champs. They're 3-0 to open the season, both straight up and against the spread, but I think last week's bye came at the worst time possible for the Argos. Chemistry and timing is a very real thing in sports obviously, and I think that "firing on all cylinders" offense which just beat BC 45-24 at home two weeks ago, will come into this one a bit flat to begin with.
The Alouettes are now 2-2 straight up and against the spread. Montreal started the season 2-0, but it's since dropped two straight, including last week's game at BC by a score of 35-19.
So Montreal is the more motivated team here for sure. It also plays with a sense of revenge. This is the first meeting of the year between the clubs this season, but Toronto took three of four in the series last season. That includes a 34-27 win in the East Division Final, so revenge is big time on the minds of the Alouettes here today.
One last thing to point out as well, is that Montreal has in fact had a lot of success here at home against the Argos, winning six of the last seven in the series played here.
Everything points to at least the comfortable cover. Grab the points, the play is MONTREAL.
Good luck, NP
Honestly, I'm not a big "player" guy. Players don't usually factor into my equation when I'm handicapping games. If a player is out, then his absence is reflected in the line. We're in 2023 fellas, the bookmakers are sharper than they've ever been at any other time in history.
I'm not that great at individual player assessment, and I've struggled at Fantasy Sports, which is obviously very difficult and completely player driven.
I've always been much better at looking at a team as a whole and then giving an assessment. I'm a situational handicapper. I've always felt that being flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping is the best, and so I look at many different factors throughout the regular season like "revenge" etc, more closely than trying to handicap the players themselves.
I'm looking at line movement. I'm looking at where the public money is, as I'm also definitely a contrarian at heart, when most of the people are going on way, I'm invariably going the other.
And so this pick on Montreal definitely falls right into my wheelhouse as far as being a great situational play in my opinion.
The Toronto Argonauts are the defending Grey Cup Champs. They're 3-0 to open the season, both straight up and against the spread, but I think last week's bye came at the worst time possible for the Argos. Chemistry and timing is a very real thing in sports obviously, and I think that "firing on all cylinders" offense which just beat BC 45-24 at home two weeks ago, will come into this one a bit flat to begin with.
The Alouettes are now 2-2 straight up and against the spread. Montreal started the season 2-0, but it's since dropped two straight, including last week's game at BC by a score of 35-19.
So Montreal is the more motivated team here for sure. It also plays with a sense of revenge. This is the first meeting of the year between the clubs this season, but Toronto took three of four in the series last season. That includes a 34-27 win in the East Division Final, so revenge is big time on the minds of the Alouettes here today.
One last thing to point out as well, is that Montreal has in fact had a lot of success here at home against the Argos, winning six of the last seven in the series played here.
Everything points to at least the comfortable cover. Grab the points, the play is MONTREAL.
Good luck, NP
