10* BIG TEN GAME OF YEAR (8-4 CFB START!)
(NCAAF) Penn State vs. Illinois,
Point Spread: 15.50 | -110.00 Illinois (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BIG TEN GOY on Illinois.

Here's a great "situational" play. I'm not calling for an outright upset or anything, but I definitely feel this is a few too many points for Penn State to be giving up on the road here.

The Nittany Lions are off B2B blowout wins, both SU and ATS, most recently annihilating Delaware 63-7 as 44-point favorites. But with a game at home to Iowa next week, not only do I feel this is a letdown spot, but also a "look-ahead." And in my World, that = trap game.

Illinois is 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS. It fell 34-23 at KU last week, after holding on for a 30-28 home win over a much-better than advertised Toledo side.

This is Penn State's first true road game of the year and I feel the Lions will struggle to contain this hungry Illini team at home down the stretch.

No outright, but much closer than expected.

Grab the points, the play is ILLINOIS.

Good luck, NP