Point Spread: 6.50 | -107.00 Denver (Away)
I'm a contrarian at heart, and I'm a big "situational" capper. This particular play fits the bill perfectly!
The Broncos are 0-2 SU/ATS, while the Dolphins are 2-0 SU/ATS.
Both of Miami's wins have come on the road. Both were tough victories. Now back at home, I say a classic "letdown" is in order here for the Dolphins.
And then when you add in the fact that they have a game at Buffalo the following Sunday, not only is this a natural "letdown" spot for Miami, but it's also a "look-ahead" positoin as well.
Letdown + look-ahead = "trap game!"
No such luxury for the Broncos, as teams that start 0-3 have almost zero chance of even making the playoffs.
Russell Wilson and company will be risking life and limb here to try and pull off the upset.
I'll stop short in calling for that upset though, but I do think it'll come "down to the wire."
Grab the points, the play is DENVER.
Good luck, NP