This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOY on the UNDER Flames/Leafs.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting those trends to end here. The overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends all point finally to more of a defensive affair here.

Neither team can be overly pleased where they sit right now in the standings.

Calgary is 4-7-0-1, including just 2-4-0-1 on the road, while Toronto is 6-5-1-1, including only 3-4-0-0 at home.

Toronto has played to three straight OVERs after a 6-3 home loss to Ottawa as a -163 favorite on Wednesday night, but note that the Leafs have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

Calgary is coming off B2B wins, but it's seen the total go OVER in four straight. With another tough game at Ottawa tomorrow night, I believe the Flames play a more aggressive defensive game tonight here in Toronto.

When you add it all up, this total is indeed to high. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP