This is a 10* IL TOM on the OVER Jays/Reds.

Both teams have been playing to some lower-scoring UNDERS of late, but I'm expecting those trends to end this evening in what I feel sets up to be a classic "slug-fest."

The Jays snapped a two-game slide with the 4-3 win yesterday, and they've now seen the total go UNDER in two straight.

But more importantly, the Reds have now seen the total go UNDER the number in four straight after the setback, and note that Cincinnati has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a dog vs. an opponent.

The starters have been decent:

Hyun-Jin Ryu is 1-1 with a 2.57 ERA for the Jays, while Hunter Greene is 2-4 with a 3.93 ERA for the Reds.

This is just a case of these guys being in the WRONG PLACE at the WRONG TIME today.

Because the overall situation, combined with the above trend points to the OVER as the correct call as far as the total is concerned.

Good luck, NP