This is a 10* SUNBELT GOW on Texas State.

This is a great "situational" play. Both teams enter at 5-2, making this a very important game, as the victor will then become bowl eligible with the win.

Troy is 2-1 on the road, most recently coming off a 19-0 win at Army two weeks ago, while Texas State also played two weeks ago in a 21-20 win over Louisiana Monroe.

Texas State lost this game 17-14 last year, but easily covered the spread with the 16.5-points it was afforded in that one.

I'm absolutely expecting a similar hard-fought game here as well.

Troy QB Gunnar Watson struggled in his team's last win, going 10 of 21 for 227 yards and a TD.

Bobcats' QB TJ Finley was 24 of 46 for 222 yards and two TD's in his team's latest victory.

I think Troy's defensive numbers are skewed and the Trojans' defense is poised to finally be tested here.

While I feel the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with TEXAS STATE.

Good luck, NP