This is a 10* NFC SOUTH GOY on the Bucs.

It's a big game, because this division is viewed as being pretty terrible, with each team still having a shot at winning it.

I guess the Panthers have no chance, but certainly the 5-7 Bucs and the 6-6 Falcons are neck-and-neck right now.

Tampa though plays with revenge after a 16-13 loss at home to the Falcons in October, but note that the Bucs are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.

Atlanta's off B2B wins, but I'm not convinced about Desmond Ridder whatsoever. The Falcons' defense has been great, but I still think Baker Mayfield will be able to move the ball today.

Tampa's defensive numbers are completely comparable here and with nearly 75% of the early money on the home side, I'm definitely going contrarian.

Grab the points, the play is TAMPA.

Good luck, NP