This is a 10* GOW on the Jets.

Everyone and their dog is all over the Browns right now, except for me and my clients this week.

New York is 6-9 and coming off a season-saving 30-28 win over Washington X-Mas Eve and I see no reason not to believe that the visiting side can't carry that momentum over here.

The Browns are 7-1 SU/ATS at home this year. They're 10-5 overall and they've defied the odds with Joe Flacco under center.

But after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, I say for sure that it's now Cleveland that's VASTLY over-rated. The book is out on Flacco now for sure and I think New York's defense is going to throw a lot at Cleveland's aging pivot (also note that Cleveland is a poor 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.

Don't get me wrong, I like Flacco, and I like the Browns as a team this year.

But I don't bet with my heart, I bet with my head and in my opinion, the overall situation, combined with the numbers/trends all point to a much tighter game than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe here on Thursday night.

Grab the points, the play is NEW YORK

Good luck, NP