This is a 10* AFC NORTH TOY on the UNDER Steelers/Ravens.

I think this is a great situational play. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring affairs coming into this one, but just like their first contest of the year, a 17-10 Pittsburgh win at home, I'm anticipating another lower-scoring defensive battle.

Situationally this one sets up to be a defensive battle. The Ravens have clinched the No. 1 seed and have nothing to play for here on paper, but they won't simply be rolling over. That said, there won't be any need to try and run up the score either. In fact, Baltimore's best strategy on offense will be to try and kill the clock as fast as possible to just end this game as fast as possible, so as to limit any potential costly injuries.

Pittsburgh needs to win this game if it has any shot at a Wildcard. The Steelers have seen the total go OVER in four straight after last week's 30-23 victory, but despite that Pittsburgh has still seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.

All signs point to the rematch in Baltimore also staying well UNDER the number once it's all said and done.

Good luck, NP