This is a 10* NFC SOUTH GOM on the Panthers.

With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Bucs, me and my clients are definitely going the other way here and looking for Carolina to pull off the epic spoiler on its home field here in Week 18.

These Panthers' players and coaches are playing for their jobs next year. A big performance here will go a long way in helping that cause.

Carolina plays with revenge here after falling 21-18 at Tampa Bay in early December, earning the cover with the 3.5-point spread.

The Bucs are off a heart-breaking 23-13 loss to the Saints last week. Tampa is an unrealistic 7-1 ATS on the road this year, but note that the Bucs are just 2-3 ATS in their last five as favorites.

Bryce Young was 19 of 32 in last week's 26-0 loss to Jacksonville.

The Panthers will be risking life and limb here to try and pull off the outright upset and to rebound from last week's terrible effort.

I just don't trust Baker Mayfield in this important position whatsoever.

Look for Young to settle down and to match his counterpart and look for the home side to, at the very least, earn the comfortable cover once it's all said and done.

Grab the points, the play is CAROLINA.

Good luck, NP