This is a 10* AFC WEST GOY on the Chiefs.

The Chiefs beat the Raiders 31-17 as 9.5-point favorites back in Week 12. They won and covered in that contest, but since then the Chiefs have gone 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS.

That's significant for us to note here though as the Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS losses in a row.

The Raiders are holding on by a thread at 6-8. They snapped a three-game slide with a 63-21 win over the Chargers, but let's take that victory with a "Grain of Salt."

I had a play on the Chargers on Saturday and they easily covered the spread and they had a huge rebound on the defensive end like I predicted as well. The moral of the story was to not "overreact" to the loss the week before.

And that's the case for Las Vegas's victory as well. Let's not read anything into that, as I'm instead expecting a major letdown here in this difficult road venue.

KC still has a chance to finish 12-5 this year with upcoming games vs. Bengals and Chargers.

I say the CHIEFS lay the hammer down in this one from start to finish. No mercy on Christmas Day.

Good luck, NP