This is a 10* BK on the Pelicans.

I base my picks on many different things. Some games I break down every tiny little thing possible, looking at individual player matchups, other times I employ the "KISS" method (Keep It Simple Stupid!)

And that's the case here for this signature BOOKIEKILLER play on the Pelicans.

The Pels are now 2-2 after their 124-106 loss here just last night. New Orleans has lost three straight ATS, but note that dating to last year not only is New Orleans 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS losses in a row, but it's also 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs an opponent.

Golden State is 3-1, but with two nights off after this, followed by a tough five-game road trip, not only is this a natural letdown spot for the home side, but also a "look ahead." And when you add those two factors together, you get "trap game."

In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points.

The play is NEW ORLEANS.

Good luck, NP