PREMIUM
AAA's *50 STAR* Wk. 17 5-GM REPORT (245-203 +$18,990 w/ ALL 10* NFL!)
(NFL) Minnesota vs. Green Bay,
Point Spread: 3.50 | -115.00 Minnesota (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 3.50 | -115.00 Minnesota (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
- Adrian Peterson: the veteran back for the Vikings has been running roughshod over the league once again this year and that's not good news at all for Packers' backers today as Green Bay ranked 21st in the league in terms of rushing yards allowed per game.
- Dominant pass defense: the home side will clearly be leaning on QB Aaron Rodgers and his arm, but that strategy plays directly into the Vikings strength, who rank third in that regard for most of the year.
- Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Minnesota is 6-1 ATS on the road and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Green Bay is just 1-3 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: We think the combination of the Vikings superior defense and run will prove to be the difference in the outcome of this contest and while we clearly wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can on MINNESOTA.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
- Adrian Peterson: the veteran back for the Vikings has been running roughshod over the league once again this year and that's not good news at all for Packers' backers today as Green Bay ranked 21st in the league in terms of rushing yards allowed per game.
- Dominant pass defense: the home side will clearly be leaning on QB Aaron Rodgers and his arm, but that strategy plays directly into the Vikings strength, who rank third in that regard for most of the year.
- Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Minnesota is 6-1 ATS on the road and 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent, while Green Bay is just 1-3 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records.
The bottom line: We think the combination of the Vikings superior defense and run will prove to be the difference in the outcome of this contest and while we clearly wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can on MINNESOTA.
AAA Sports
