PREMIUM
AAA's 10* Alamo Bowl BLOCKBUSTER (TCU/Oregon!)
(NCAAF) Oregon vs. TCU,
Point Spread: -7.00 | -102.00 Oregon (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -7.00 | -102.00 Oregon (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BLOCKBUSTER on Oregon.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
- TCU will have to play this one without the services of QB Trevone Boykin and star WR Josh Doctson. Boykin was suspended after getting arrested last week, while Doctson has a wrist injury. Suffice it to say, we find it next to impossible for TCU to replace these two key pieces, especially Boykin, who is the backbone of the offense and the leader of the team.
- Also note though that TCU is just 1-2 ATS in its last three games played on a neutral field, while Oregon is 4-1 ATS its last five in the same position.
The Bottom Line: No need to overanalyze this one, the loss of Doctson and Boykin will prove to be too much for TCU to overcome, look for OREGON to take full advantage and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
- TCU will have to play this one without the services of QB Trevone Boykin and star WR Josh Doctson. Boykin was suspended after getting arrested last week, while Doctson has a wrist injury. Suffice it to say, we find it next to impossible for TCU to replace these two key pieces, especially Boykin, who is the backbone of the offense and the leader of the team.
- Also note though that TCU is just 1-2 ATS in its last three games played on a neutral field, while Oregon is 4-1 ATS its last five in the same position.
The Bottom Line: No need to overanalyze this one, the loss of Doctson and Boykin will prove to be too much for TCU to overcome, look for OREGON to take full advantage and to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.
AAA Sports
