PREMIUM
AAA's 10* ACC TOTAL OF MONTH!
(NCAAB) North Carolina vs. Florida State,
Total: 163.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 163.50 | -107.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between North Carolina and Florida State.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Improved defensive play: The Tar Heels are one of the higher-scoring teams in the nation, but they have put an added emphasis on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing just 70 points over their last four games.
Recent history: The last time these teams played against each other, the Tar Heels would have to hold on for dear life in a 78-74 home victory last January 24th, FSU's Xavier Rathan-Mayes finished with 35 points. We're expecting a similar final result today (note that Rathan-Mayes is averaging just 11 points on 39.7 percent shooting this season though).
Motivation: North Carolina has won seven straight and will look to keep the pressure on, while conversely, the Seminoles come in off an 84-75 loss at Clemson on Saturday, ending their six-game win skein.
Revenge factor: To say this is a revenge game would be a bit of an understatement, as FSU has lost five in a row overall in this series, including seven of the past eight at home.
Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that UNC seen total go UNDER in 14 of its last 26 true road games, while FSU has seen the total dip below the posted number in both games it's played this year after allowing 80 points or more and in 19 of its last 34 when playing the role of underdog.
The bottom line: We're expecting an extremely scrappy affair which'll lead to a lot of half court sets on offense. A slower paced game = less shots and less shots = less points. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Improved defensive play: The Tar Heels are one of the higher-scoring teams in the nation, but they have put an added emphasis on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing just 70 points over their last four games.
Recent history: The last time these teams played against each other, the Tar Heels would have to hold on for dear life in a 78-74 home victory last January 24th, FSU's Xavier Rathan-Mayes finished with 35 points. We're expecting a similar final result today (note that Rathan-Mayes is averaging just 11 points on 39.7 percent shooting this season though).
Motivation: North Carolina has won seven straight and will look to keep the pressure on, while conversely, the Seminoles come in off an 84-75 loss at Clemson on Saturday, ending their six-game win skein.
Revenge factor: To say this is a revenge game would be a bit of an understatement, as FSU has lost five in a row overall in this series, including seven of the past eight at home.
Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that UNC seen total go UNDER in 14 of its last 26 true road games, while FSU has seen the total dip below the posted number in both games it's played this year after allowing 80 points or more and in 19 of its last 34 when playing the role of underdog.
The bottom line: We're expecting an extremely scrappy affair which'll lead to a lot of half court sets on offense. A slower paced game = less shots and less shots = less points. Play on the UNDER.
AAA Sports
