PREMIUM
AAA's 10* BIG EAST *ASSASSIN!*
(NCAAB) Marquette vs. Providence,
Point Spread: 9.50 | -105.00 Marquette (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 9.50 | -105.00 Marquette (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Marquette.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: We feel this sets up as a letdown spot for the home side, the Friars have won eight straight and are ranked in the Top 10. The Golden Eagles on the other hand have lost both of their opening games to start Big East play and will be desperate for a victory today.
Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Marquette is 3-1 ATS in its last four as road dog in the 9 to 12 points range and 4-2 ATS in its last six after allowing 80 points or more, while Providence is just 4-5 ATS at home this year and just 10-16 ATS in its last 26 off a win vs. a conference rival.
The bottom line: The desperation level in which the Golden Eagles play with today keep this one A LOT closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, grab as many points as you can with MARQUETTE.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivation: We feel this sets up as a letdown spot for the home side, the Friars have won eight straight and are ranked in the Top 10. The Golden Eagles on the other hand have lost both of their opening games to start Big East play and will be desperate for a victory today.
Strong and relevant ATS statistics: note that Marquette is 3-1 ATS in its last four as road dog in the 9 to 12 points range and 4-2 ATS in its last six after allowing 80 points or more, while Providence is just 4-5 ATS at home this year and just 10-16 ATS in its last 26 off a win vs. a conference rival.
The bottom line: The desperation level in which the Golden Eagles play with today keep this one A LOT closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe, grab as many points as you can with MARQUETTE.
AAA Sports
