PREMIUM
AAA's 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION - 50-35 +$4,189 "P.L." Run!
(NHL) Toronto vs. Los Angeles,
Point Spread: -1.50 | 125.00 Los Angeles (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -1.50 | 125.00 Los Angeles (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION on the LA Kings.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic "letdown" spot: There's no question that this one sets up as letdown spot for the visitors, they've won three straight, including a dominating 4-0 win at Anaheim just last night. Are the Leafs really this good? We definitely do not think so and look for the home side to come out aggressive tonight and take advantage of this extremely favorable spot.
The Kings smothering defensive play: LA has given up the third-fewest goals in the league this year and has been particularly dominant at home, having permitted just 1.93 per game while winning 12 of 15 at the Staples Center.
Jonathan Quick: The Kings' goaltender is white hot, he's given up just four goals over his last four games, most recently making 29 saves in his team's 2-1 win over Philadelphia on Saturday.
Special teams: Toronto is just 1 of 19 on the power play the last five games. LA has scored a power play goal in six straight, going 7 of 20 over that stretch.
Depth: The Kings just added Vincent Lecavalier and Luke Schenn from Philadelphia.
Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that Toronto is already 1-8 (-6.4 units) when playing on back-to-back days, while LA is already 7-3 (+1.4 units) when playing with two days of rest and 14-5 (+5.6 units) when trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: We think the visitors get punched in the mouth early and fold up the tents and go through the motions the rest of the way, all signs do indeed point to a lop-sided destruction, play on the KINGS on the PUCK-LINE.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic "letdown" spot: There's no question that this one sets up as letdown spot for the visitors, they've won three straight, including a dominating 4-0 win at Anaheim just last night. Are the Leafs really this good? We definitely do not think so and look for the home side to come out aggressive tonight and take advantage of this extremely favorable spot.
The Kings smothering defensive play: LA has given up the third-fewest goals in the league this year and has been particularly dominant at home, having permitted just 1.93 per game while winning 12 of 15 at the Staples Center.
Jonathan Quick: The Kings' goaltender is white hot, he's given up just four goals over his last four games, most recently making 29 saves in his team's 2-1 win over Philadelphia on Saturday.
Special teams: Toronto is just 1 of 19 on the power play the last five games. LA has scored a power play goal in six straight, going 7 of 20 over that stretch.
Depth: The Kings just added Vincent Lecavalier and Luke Schenn from Philadelphia.
Strong and relevant ATS statistics: Note that Toronto is already 1-8 (-6.4 units) when playing on back-to-back days, while LA is already 7-3 (+1.4 units) when playing with two days of rest and 14-5 (+5.6 units) when trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: We think the visitors get punched in the mouth early and fold up the tents and go through the motions the rest of the way, all signs do indeed point to a lop-sided destruction, play on the KINGS on the PUCK-LINE.
AAA Sports
