AAA's ONE & ONLY 10* TOTAL OF MONTH
(NCAAF) Alabama vs. Clemson,
Total: 51.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between Alabama and Clemson.

While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Rest leads to rust: Clemson sports one of the nation's best dual threat QB's, while Alabama has arguably the best RB in the nation. These are two explosive offenses, but it's not too hard to imagine each coming in a bit flat after having more than a month off between games. Timing and rhythm will be "off" to start, it's definitely a situation that lends itself to a lower-scoring affair.

Best defense in history?: Believe it or not, some are calling Alabama's defense the best to ever grace the College Football field. Regardless of whether or not that statement is true, one thing is for sure, Clemson has not had to face a defensive unit like this all season. This is a unit which will have a firm game-plan in place to slow down Tigers' QB DeShaun Watson.

Over/Under ATS statistics: Note that Alabama has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of 12 as a favorite this year, while Clemson has seen the total dip below the posted number in six of its last ten as a dog an din its last two as a neutral field underdog of 3.5 to 7 points.

The bottom line: And it's as simple as that for us. A combination of three strong factors collide, all of them indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in the 2015/16 National Championship Game.

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