PREMIUM
AAA's 10* (Signature!) "ART OF WAR!" - +$43K NBA RUN CONTINUES!
(NBA) San Antonio vs. Brooklyn,
Point Spread: 15.00 | -115.00 Brooklyn (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 15.00 | -115.00 Brooklyn (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on the Brooklyn Nets.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
New coach for Brooklyn: When a team fires a head coach in the middle of a season to shake things up, it can have one of two effects: either the team responds and dominates, or it continues to slide as if nothing happened. While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we do think the firing of Lionel Hollins and the assigning of GM Billy King will light enough of a fire under the home side to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.
ATS statistics: And the stats back up our line of reasoning as well as note that San Antonio has in fact struggled in this spot over the last few seasons, going just 13-18 ATS in its last 31 when playing with two days of rest, while Brooklyn has excelled in this spot for bettors already this year, going 9-4 ATS in all non-conference games, 13-9 ATS vs. teams with winning records, 16-12 ATS vs. good offensive clubs which average 99-plus points per contest, interestingly it's also 4-1 ATS vs. the Southwest division (the entire Southwest just can't help itself in "looking past" the lowly Nets it would seem), and 9-7 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
Look ahead spot: It's not like the Spurs will have it marked down on their calendar, but this does indeed set up as a bit of a look ahead spot for the visitors with a game in Detroit tomorrow night.
The bottom line: A new coach, a new direction. Strong ATS stats backed by an equally as important "spot" circumstance. This is a lot of points, too many in our opinion, grab as many as you can with the NETS.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
New coach for Brooklyn: When a team fires a head coach in the middle of a season to shake things up, it can have one of two effects: either the team responds and dominates, or it continues to slide as if nothing happened. While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we do think the firing of Lionel Hollins and the assigning of GM Billy King will light enough of a fire under the home side to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.
ATS statistics: And the stats back up our line of reasoning as well as note that San Antonio has in fact struggled in this spot over the last few seasons, going just 13-18 ATS in its last 31 when playing with two days of rest, while Brooklyn has excelled in this spot for bettors already this year, going 9-4 ATS in all non-conference games, 13-9 ATS vs. teams with winning records, 16-12 ATS vs. good offensive clubs which average 99-plus points per contest, interestingly it's also 4-1 ATS vs. the Southwest division (the entire Southwest just can't help itself in "looking past" the lowly Nets it would seem), and 9-7 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
Look ahead spot: It's not like the Spurs will have it marked down on their calendar, but this does indeed set up as a bit of a look ahead spot for the visitors with a game in Detroit tomorrow night.
The bottom line: A new coach, a new direction. Strong ATS stats backed by an equally as important "spot" circumstance. This is a lot of points, too many in our opinion, grab as many as you can with the NETS.
AAA Sports
