PREMIUM
AAA's 10* Pac-12 "ASSASSIN!" RED HOT 7-2 ALL L2 Days!
(NCAAB) California vs. Stanford,
Point Spread: 3.50 | -105.00 Stanford (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 3.50 | -105.00 Stanford (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on Stanford.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Evenly matched, so home court advantage becomes a factor: These two teams are very evenly matched, the Cardinal average 69.9 points and give up 67.7, while The Bears average 75.8 and give up 65.3. We'll call the discrepancy in numbers a "wash" here because of the home court advantage.
ATS statistics: This play is however mainly based on some very strong ATS stats, as note that California is just 7-8 ATS this year when playing the role of favorite and a horrible 5-15 ATS in its last 20 following a loss vs. a conference rival, while Stanford is already 2-0 ATS this season after scoring 60 points or less and is 23-17 ATS in its last 41 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: The oddsmakers agree that these teams are evenly matched, but all of the strong ATS stats do indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this contest, grab as many as you can with the STANFORD CARDINAL.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Evenly matched, so home court advantage becomes a factor: These two teams are very evenly matched, the Cardinal average 69.9 points and give up 67.7, while The Bears average 75.8 and give up 65.3. We'll call the discrepancy in numbers a "wash" here because of the home court advantage.
ATS statistics: This play is however mainly based on some very strong ATS stats, as note that California is just 7-8 ATS this year when playing the role of favorite and a horrible 5-15 ATS in its last 20 following a loss vs. a conference rival, while Stanford is already 2-0 ATS this season after scoring 60 points or less and is 23-17 ATS in its last 41 in front of the home town crowd.
The bottom line: The oddsmakers agree that these teams are evenly matched, but all of the strong ATS stats do indeed point to the points as the savvy move in this contest, grab as many as you can with the STANFORD CARDINAL.
AAA Sports
