PREMIUM
AAA's 10* SIGNATURE *RED DRAGON!* +$43,000 NBA RUN!
(NBA) Miami vs. Denver,
Point Spread: -2.50 | -107.00 Miami (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -2.50 | -107.00 Miami (Away)
Result: Win
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Miami Heat.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic "letdown" spot for the Nuggets: No need to overanalyze this play in our opinion, overachieving Denver has won three of its last four, including a 112-110 victory over Golden State on Wednesday.
Desperation factor for Miami: The Heat have been playing sloppily of late, they'd open their six-game road trip with a win in Phoenix, but have since lost three-straight. But desperation breeds motivation and the ATS stats are backing us up today as well.
ATS statistics: Note that Miami is 9-6 ATS in non-conference games this year and 5-3 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Denver is 3-7 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and 5-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more.
The bottom line: Both teams are dealing with injuries, but one is coming off an epic win, while the other will be playing with desperation. Lay the short points with confidence on the hungry, hungry HEAT.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Classic "letdown" spot for the Nuggets: No need to overanalyze this play in our opinion, overachieving Denver has won three of its last four, including a 112-110 victory over Golden State on Wednesday.
Desperation factor for Miami: The Heat have been playing sloppily of late, they'd open their six-game road trip with a win in Phoenix, but have since lost three-straight. But desperation breeds motivation and the ATS stats are backing us up today as well.
ATS statistics: Note that Miami is 9-6 ATS in non-conference games this year and 5-3 ATS after a loss by ten points or more, while Denver is 3-7 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog and 5-10 ATS after scoring 105 points or more.
The bottom line: Both teams are dealing with injuries, but one is coming off an epic win, while the other will be playing with desperation. Lay the short points with confidence on the hungry, hungry HEAT.
AAA Sports
