PREMIUM
AAA's SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION!
(NHL) Boston vs. Buffalo,
Money Line: -135.00 Boston (Away)
Result: Win
Money Line: -135.00 Boston (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Boston Bruins.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
The revenge factor: The last time these team's met, the Sabres got the better of the Bruins, destroying Boston 6-3 in front of the home town crowd back on January 15th.
Desperation factor: Desperation breeds motivation, there's no question that the B's will be hungry today, they've lost eight of their last ten, including three straight, most recently letting a 2-1 lead slip away in the third in an eventual 3-2 setback at Philadelphia on Wednesday.
Classic "letdown/look ahead" spot: The Sabres come in contented, they close a three-game road trip by winning the last two, including a 4-2 victory at Winnipeg, followed by a 3-2 win at Minnesota on Tuesday. And with a game vs. Eastern Conference leading Washington tomorrow, it certainly isn't too hard to imagine the home side getting caught already mentally preparing for that one.
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is 3-0 (+3 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Buffalo is 3-6 (-1.5 units) when playing with two days of rest.
The bottom line: After taking all of the above factors into consideration, it's in our professional opinion that this is indeed the very definition of "great line value," play on the BRUINS.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
The revenge factor: The last time these team's met, the Sabres got the better of the Bruins, destroying Boston 6-3 in front of the home town crowd back on January 15th.
Desperation factor: Desperation breeds motivation, there's no question that the B's will be hungry today, they've lost eight of their last ten, including three straight, most recently letting a 2-1 lead slip away in the third in an eventual 3-2 setback at Philadelphia on Wednesday.
Classic "letdown/look ahead" spot: The Sabres come in contented, they close a three-game road trip by winning the last two, including a 4-2 victory at Winnipeg, followed by a 3-2 win at Minnesota on Tuesday. And with a game vs. Eastern Conference leading Washington tomorrow, it certainly isn't too hard to imagine the home side getting caught already mentally preparing for that one.
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is 3-0 (+3 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses, while Buffalo is 3-6 (-1.5 units) when playing with two days of rest.
The bottom line: After taking all of the above factors into consideration, it's in our professional opinion that this is indeed the very definition of "great line value," play on the BRUINS.
AAA Sports
