PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *SIGNATURE* "ART OF WAR!" - 7-3 (70%) +$2,980 L10 CBB!
(NCAAB) Syracuse vs. Duke,
Point Spread: -11.00 | -107.00 Duke (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -11.00 | -107.00 Duke (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ART OF WAR on Duke.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivated home side: The Blue Devils may be 14-4 this season, but they've lost their last two games including a setback at home to Notre Dame last time out. Still, Duke has to be feeling extremely confident it can bounce back today, it's averaging 86.9 points off 48.3 percent shooting, while allowing 70.7 PPG off 43.3 percent shooting.
Classic letdown spot: The Orange are 12-7, but come in off back-to-back blowout wins. Note that Syracuse averages 71.1 PPG, while allowing 64.4.
ATS statistics: Duke is 7-3 its last ten vs. the ACC, 4-1-1 ATS at home vs. a team with a losing road record, while Syracuse is just 7-23-2 ATS vs. the ACC and 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road.
The bottom line: It's a perfect storm of factors for the BLUE DEVILS.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Motivated home side: The Blue Devils may be 14-4 this season, but they've lost their last two games including a setback at home to Notre Dame last time out. Still, Duke has to be feeling extremely confident it can bounce back today, it's averaging 86.9 points off 48.3 percent shooting, while allowing 70.7 PPG off 43.3 percent shooting.
Classic letdown spot: The Orange are 12-7, but come in off back-to-back blowout wins. Note that Syracuse averages 71.1 PPG, while allowing 64.4.
ATS statistics: Duke is 7-3 its last ten vs. the ACC, 4-1-1 ATS at home vs. a team with a losing road record, while Syracuse is just 7-23-2 ATS vs. the ACC and 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road.
The bottom line: It's a perfect storm of factors for the BLUE DEVILS.
AAA Sports
