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(NBA) Memphis vs. Denver,
Total: 194.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 194.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL RED DRAGON on the UNDER between the Memphis Grizzlies.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
If history is any precedence: Then Denver has to be loving its chances in slowing down the suddenly surging Grizzlies, who have won three straight and five of six meeting in this series, but who are just 3-26 all time at the Pepsi Center.
Tough defensive play: The Grizzlies have been one of the best on the defensive end of the floor since mid December, giving up just 95.2 PPG through 18 contests.
ATS statistics: Note that Memphis has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of 20 on the road this season and in both games that it's playedafter three or more consecutive victories, while Denver has seen the total stay below the posted number in five of seven this year after playing to three or more consecutive OVERS.
The bottom line: After beating the Warriors, the Nuggets have struggled and we have a hard time seeing the home side moving the ball vs. these defensive minded Grizzlies. And when taking into account the rest of the above factors, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
If history is any precedence: Then Denver has to be loving its chances in slowing down the suddenly surging Grizzlies, who have won three straight and five of six meeting in this series, but who are just 3-26 all time at the Pepsi Center.
Tough defensive play: The Grizzlies have been one of the best on the defensive end of the floor since mid December, giving up just 95.2 PPG through 18 contests.
ATS statistics: Note that Memphis has seen the total go UNDER the number in 13 of 20 on the road this season and in both games that it's playedafter three or more consecutive victories, while Denver has seen the total stay below the posted number in five of seven this year after playing to three or more consecutive OVERS.
The bottom line: After beating the Warriors, the Nuggets have struggled and we have a hard time seeing the home side moving the ball vs. these defensive minded Grizzlies. And when taking into account the rest of the above factors, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
