PREMIUM
AAA's 10* NFC TOTAL OF YEAR! 17-10 NFL L5 SUNDAYS!
(NFL) Green Bay vs. New Orleans,
Total: 56.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
Total: 56.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* NFC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the New Orleans Saints.
We have a couple of extremly proficient offensive teams going head to head on Sunday night, but for a number of different reasons I feel that this total will sneak below the posted number once the final whistle sounds. Green Bay has rolled to four straight victories behind the great play of QB Aaron Rodgers, most recently routing the Panthers 38-17 last week. However, the visitors will face a desperate and hungry 2-4 home side; note that a loss would give the Saints their worst seven-game start to a season under Sean Payton. Take note though, the Saints are still completely in the playoff picture as Carolina leads the NFC South as just 3-3-1: "That's a ton of football," Payton said. "Basically we're finished (with), I believe a third of the season, a little bit more than that. But the focus for us will be right on Green Bay." The home side will be especially eager to atone for last week's 24-23 setback to Detroit in which it allowed the Lions to rally for two TD's with just 3:38 left to play. So while most of the wagering public will be piling on the OVER (note that this total opened at 54.5 and has since been bet up to 56 at some places), I think the value is in going the other way. I believe Green Bay comes in a bit flat footed and the Saints intensity on the defensive side of the ball catches it off-guard; note the Packers have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four as a road dog of 3 points or less, while New Orleans has seen it dip below the number in two of its last three as a home fav of 3 points or less. The situation, the numbers and the trends all do indeed point to the UNDER as the sharp wager in this contest.
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We have a couple of extremly proficient offensive teams going head to head on Sunday night, but for a number of different reasons I feel that this total will sneak below the posted number once the final whistle sounds. Green Bay has rolled to four straight victories behind the great play of QB Aaron Rodgers, most recently routing the Panthers 38-17 last week. However, the visitors will face a desperate and hungry 2-4 home side; note that a loss would give the Saints their worst seven-game start to a season under Sean Payton. Take note though, the Saints are still completely in the playoff picture as Carolina leads the NFC South as just 3-3-1: "That's a ton of football," Payton said. "Basically we're finished (with), I believe a third of the season, a little bit more than that. But the focus for us will be right on Green Bay." The home side will be especially eager to atone for last week's 24-23 setback to Detroit in which it allowed the Lions to rally for two TD's with just 3:38 left to play. So while most of the wagering public will be piling on the OVER (note that this total opened at 54.5 and has since been bet up to 56 at some places), I think the value is in going the other way. I believe Green Bay comes in a bit flat footed and the Saints intensity on the defensive side of the ball catches it off-guard; note the Packers have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four as a road dog of 3 points or less, while New Orleans has seen it dip below the number in two of its last three as a home fav of 3 points or less. The situation, the numbers and the trends all do indeed point to the UNDER as the sharp wager in this contest.
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