The Minnesota Twins will host the Kansas City Royals for the final contest of a two-game series Wednesday afternoon. I expect the home team to earn the win in a high-scoring slugfest.

The Twins hand the ball to Martin Perez (8-3, 4.26 ERA) who is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two career outings (one start) against the Mets. Perez was tagged with four runs in a 15-6 win over Texas last time out.

The Mets turn to left-hander Jason Vargas (3-5, 4.23 ERA) who has impressive career numbers against Minnesota, but note that the veteran was lit up for six runs in just five innings at Miami last time out. Here he'll face a Twins team that averages 5.65 runs per game home at Target Field.

The Mets won last night's matchup 3-2, but the Twins are 17-4 in their last 21 after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game.

Over is 7-1 in Perez's last 8 starts overall. Over is 9-4 in Twins last 13 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 12-4-3 in Mets last 19 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

8* play on Minnesota Twins.