The Houston Texans are only 2-7 SU and ATS on the season, but they've played a tough schedule and also had a fair amount of bad luck.
This line has flipped from Houston being a favorite to an underdog, and I think we're getting great value on the Texans against a New England team that is getting a bit too much respect from the betting market for back-to-back wins consecutive wins against the Jets and Baltimore.

Sure, the Pats can move the ball on the ground, but note that the Texans held the Browns to 231 rushing yards in a 10-7 loss at Cleveland last week. While that might sound like a lot, the weather made the Browns to the run even more than usual, and it was a solid defensive outing overall from Houston.

Patriots are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. Patriots are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite. Home team is 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

8* play on Houston Texans.