The two teams split the four regular-season meetings, with the home team winning outright in each game. The Celtics covered the spread in all four of those games and they are 9-1 ATS in the last nine meetings with the Bucks.

Milwaukee forward Khris Middleton will miss the beginning (and possibly all of this series) with a sprained MCL. They would need to be fully healthy to beat this Celtics team that is peaking at exactly the right time and made a sweep of the Nets in the first round look easy.

I also like the under. Sure, three of the four regular-season meetings went over the total (and with bigger totals than this), but this is the playoffs. Both teams have been locked in on defense and neither will give up easy looks.

8* play on UNDER.