Nats right-hander Josiah Gray has posted an ERA of 2.01 in seven road starts this season. The Nats covered the runline in all seven games. Gray held Philly scoreless over six innings when he last faced them, back in June.

Phillies right-hander Aaron Nola has a 4.25 ERA at home this season but he has compiled an ERA of 2.05 over his last three starts. Nola has an ERA of 5.82 in three starts versus the Nationals over the last two seasons.

Under is 7-3 in Phillies last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

I like the Nats to cover the runline in a low-scoring affair.

8* PLAY ON NATIONALS +1.5.