The Clippers have a 4-2 ATS record against the Nuggets this season and are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Denver has covered the spread in their L3 games as favorites but struggles ATS on the road. The Clippers have a strong home record (30-11 in the regular season) and are 21-14 against the spread (ATS) when favored by 5 or more points. The Clippers have been one of the NBA’s hottest teams. Their Game 2 win showcased Kawhi Leonard’s elite performance, highlighting their offensive firepower when healthy. Their defense, ranked third in points allowed per possession, has been effective at limiting Denver’s supporting cast, particularly Jamal Murray. Ivica Zubac’s ability to challenge Nikola Jokić defensively (holding him to 25% shooting in regular season matchups) is a significant advantage. Denver relies heavily on Nikola Jokić, who posted a near triple-double in Game 1 (29 points, 12 assists, 9 rebounds) and a triple double in Game 2 (26 points, 12 rebounds, 10 assists). However, their supporting cast has been inconsistent. The Nuggets 20 turnovers in Game 2 shows that they have trouble with LA's aggressive defense. We'll back the home team here.