The Denver Broncos just barely hung on at home to beat Miami last week, and they head out on the road to face division rivals Kansas City. Despite the fact that the Broncos have a losing record on the road this season, they will be a small favorite tonight. I like the Chiefs to make the most of their home field advantage here at Arrowhead.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Chiefs own a 4-1 record at home, and they've faced some tough teams including the defending champion Seahawks and the New England Patriots.

2. Injuries - The Broncos have been missing several key players on offense, with Ronnie Hillman, Monte Ball, and Julius Thomas all missed last weeks game against Miami.

3. X-Factor - The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Selection: This is a play on the Kansas City Chiefs (10*)