The Dolphins surrendered 35 points in a narrow 37-25 win over the Vikings last week, and they close out the season with a home game against the Jets. New York has been playing pretty solid football in recent weeks, and I'll take the underdog in a rivalry game that features a pair of teams that will not play in the post-season.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Jets have lost three of their last four, by all three of those losses came in games decided by less than seven points. One of those was a 16-13 loss to the Dolphins, in a game that they led until midway through the fourth quarter.

2. Jets Defense - Last week the Jets held the Patriots to just 231 total yards, and Tom Brady completed 23-of-35 yards for 182 yards with a TD and an INT.

3. X-Factor - The Jets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Miami.

Selection: This is a play on the New York Jets (10*)